Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.216116 0.245771 0.277557 0.314107 0.354921 0.399039 0.450280
2025-10-26 0.177109 0.216854 0.262259 0.317776 0.383624 0.459018 0.551654
2025-11-02 0.151816 0.198093 0.253921 0.325814 0.415476 0.523113 0.661560
2025-11-09 0.128299 0.177386 0.239594 0.323501 0.432900 0.569784 0.752970
2025-11-16 0.110374 0.160894 0.227845 0.321992 0.449690 0.615415 0.845026
2025-11-23 0.096010 0.146993 0.217402 0.320250 0.464834 0.658728 0.935802
2025-11-30 0.086904 0.139110 0.213940 0.327034 0.491158 0.717709 1.050336
2025-12-07 0.077456 0.129429 0.206633 0.327161 0.507410 0.763066 1.148032
2025-12-14 0.069448 0.120889 0.199928 0.327144 0.522807 0.807399 1.246048
2025-12-21 0.062777 0.113617 0.194280 0.327892 0.538859 0.852985 1.347718
2025-12-28 0.057834 0.108569 0.191511 0.332612 0.560867 0.908118 1.465910
2026-01-04 0.054114 0.105144 0.190941 0.340574 0.588123 0.972263 1.600579
2026-01-11 0.049605 0.100000 0.187304 0.343627 0.608434 1.027981 1.727300
2026-01-18 0.046201 0.096471 0.186068 0.350536 0.635397 1.095562 1.876192
2026-01-25 0.043657 0.094253 0.186885 0.360944 0.668740 1.175019 2.047991
2026-02-01 0.039660 0.088738 0.181198 0.359289 0.681184 1.220789 2.167217
2026-02-08 0.036165 0.083796 0.176066 0.358106 0.694150 1.267811 2.290489
2026-02-15 0.032988 0.079116 0.170956 0.356445 0.705952 1.313189 2.412861
2026-02-22 0.031161 0.077090 0.170798 0.364055 0.734873 1.389225 2.590705
2026-03-01 0.028726 0.073427 0.167012 0.364271 0.749998 1.441709 2.730050
2026-03-08 0.026504 0.069973 0.163310 0.364294 0.764607 1.493781 2.870778
2026-03-15 0.024563 0.066930 0.160170 0.365140 0.780711 1.549125 3.019544
2026-03-22 0.023158 0.064996 0.159214 0.370351 0.805516 1.621372 3.201662